Archive for October, 2009

Prepare for the Worst – or it will catch you Unprepared!

The Restructuring of America’s Aerospace and Defense Industry and how the ripple down consequences will impact the Embedded Industry

The Aerospace and Defense Industries of the United States are poised to undergo one of the most significant changes since the end of the Cold War; perhaps the most significant since World War II. We believe that observers (embedded vendors included) who expect small changes are mistaken, thereby fostering a false and dangerous sense of security across much of the industry and government.

The impact to our economy goes far beyond our current financial problems and involves fundamental structural changes taking place in the industry and in the market. As in prior shifts of this nature, there will be winners and losers – however these shifts may be profound, creating more dramatic winners and losers than in the last cycle.

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What was Intel Thinking when it Bought Wind River?

It looks like Déjà vu all over again – Yogi Berra

OK. Every meeting I go to I’m asked my opinion regarding Intel’s acquisition of Wind River – so here goes. To be honest, people richer than me are behind and part of this acquisition, so who am I to think that I know better? To be sure, some of the people richer than I am have screwed up on a far grander scale than I have, so why not offer my perspective?

My first response to the question is a flashback to the “Shortest Book” jokes that I used to revel in decades ago. “Ethics for Enron Executives” would certainly be among the “shortest book titles”. My contribution to this arcane joke file was “Famous Jewish Weightlifters” a title that my rabbi didn’t understand.

Recently I thought of adding “Successful Intel Acquisitions and Spin-offs” to the list. Those of you old enough to remember Dialogic and Ziatech (as well as a number of software-based hardware analysis and virtual development platform spin-offs) will get my point.

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Preparing for the Wake – The 2009 Embedded Systems Conference in Boston

ESC Boston September 2009

Sadly, like an All Pro quarterback whose arm has long ago lost its zip, the Embedded Systems Conference (ESC) returned to Boston the week of September 21, 2009. Once the “must attend event” of the fall season, this important venue continues to struggle with most of the major embedded vendors absent. Other company executives were present to speak with the press – but they didn’t host a booth. I was on a panel with Robert Day; VP marketing for LynuxWorks, who was in prominent attendance – but LynuxWorks didn’t have a booth.

Gone are most of the major chip companies. Only Microsoft, IBM Rational and Green Hills Software continue to host impressive booths. In year’s past Green Hills hosted a demonstration event in which was attended by a dozen or more viewers every hour. This year we saw only a handful of interested developers at each presentation

So what is it that accounts for this lack of participation? The decline began long before the economic crisis that we are experiencing – although the number of layoffs and the unwillingness of embedded OEMs and systems integrators to today invest in new technologies is certainly a contributing factor. In year’s past ESC Boston was a magnet for downscaled engineers to trot out their resumes. Given the severe downturn, many disenfranchised engineers didn’t see the point of pursuing a pointless effort.

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What is Market Intelligence?

Market Intelligence MazeEmbedded Market Forecasters conducts syndicated research that provides a view of the “forest” of the embedded world. The real question is what do you do with the information at hand? Along with the data, EMF provides the tools and expert analysis to turn the data into market intelligence. You can look at the results and draw correlations and conclusions. You can see the forest – but with the latest research dashboard tools, you can also see the trees.

Moreover, you can see relationships between the trees. For example, one can not only see what target OSes are developers are using, but one can also look simultaneously at many OSes to determine how many developers are on a project (and what types of developers), how many months it take from design start to shipment, what percentage is canceled and how many months the project runs before cancellation (same for designs completed behind or ahead of schedule). This is what Market Intelligence provides that Market Research does not.

What is Market Intelligence??

Click to view a brief video!

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